Nigeria’s Economy Grows Marginally by 2.54% in Q3

...as non-oil sector dominates with 94.52%

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Nigeria’s economy grew by 2.54 percent in the third quarter of this year. This  is higher compared to the 2.51 percent growth in Q2 and 2.25 percent in the same period last year.

The National Bureau of Statistics ( NBS) in its third quarter  (Q3) 2023 GDP report released yesterday said the Gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 2.54 percent (year-on-year) in real terms in Q3 2023  was driven mainly by the services sector, which recorded a growth of 3.99 percent and contributed 52.70 percent to the aggregate GDP.

It said the agriculture sector grew by 1.30 percent, from the growth of 1.34 percent recorded in the third quarter of 2022 and that the growth of the industry sector was 0.46 percent, an improvement from -8.00 percent recorded in Q3 of 2022.

“In terms of share of the GDP, agriculture, and the industry sectors contributed less to the aggregate GDP in Q3 compared to the third quarter of 2022,” the report said.

The poor  performance of Agriculture and the industry sectors can be attributed to insecurity which has forced many farmers to abandon their farms and the rising inflation which has forced many manufacturing firms to shut down or scale down their production because of the high cost of production.

According to the NBS, the nominal GDP for Q3 2023 stood at N60.66 trillion while the real GDP was N19.44 trillion.

Nominal GDP and real GDP both quantify the total value of all goods produced in a country in a year. However, real GDP is adjusted for inflation, while nominal GDP is not.

NBS said, “In the quarter under review, aggregate GDP stood at N60.66 trillion in nominal terms. This performance is higher when compared to the third quarter of 2022 which recorded aggregate GDP of N52,255,809.62 million, indicating a year-on-year nominal growth of 16.08 percent.”

The NBS also said the  non-oil sector grew by 2.75 percent in real terms during the reference quarter (Q3 2023).

This rate was however, lower by 1.52 percent points compared to the rate recorded in the same quarter of 2022 and 0.84 percent points lower than the second quarter of 2023.

“This sector was driven in the third quarter of 2023 mainly by Information and Communication (Telecommunication); Financial and Insurance (Financial Institutions); Agriculture (Crop production); Trade; Construction; and Real Estate, accounting for positive GDP growth,” the report said.

“In real terms, the non-oil sector contributed 94.52 percent to the nation’s GDP in the third quarter of 2023.”

It said this is higher than the share recorded in the third quarter of 2022 which was 94.34 percent and lower than the 94.66 percent recorded in the second quarter of 2023.

On the other hand the oil sector which in the past had made the most contribution to the GDP, contributed only 5.48 percent to the total real GDP in Q3 2023, down from the figure recorded in the corresponding period of 2022 and up from the preceding quarter, where it contributed 5.66 percent and 5.34 percent  respectively.

The report shows that the real growth of the oil sector was –0.85 percent  (year-on-year) in Q3 2023, indicating an increase of 21.83 percent points relative to the rate recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2022 (-22.67 percent).

“Growth also increased by 12.58 percent points when compared to Q2 2023 which was –13.43 percent,” the said.

“On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the oil sector recorded a growth rate of 12.47 percent in Q3 2023.

The report also shows that the nation in the third quarter of 2023 recorded an average daily oil production of 1.45 million barrels per day (mbpd), higher than the daily average production of 1.20mbpd recorded in the same quarter of 2022 by 0.25mbpd and higher than the second quarter of 2023 production volume of 1.22 mbpd by 0.23mbpd.

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