Premier League Title-Race: Who Wears the Crown, Liverpool, Manchester City or Arsenal?


Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta has urged his team to “maintain the momentum” before a potentially crucial weekend in the Premier League title race.


After thrashing Sheffield United 6-0 on Monday, the Gunners could move top of the table for the first time in 2024 if they beat Brentford on Saturday.


That match is followed by a mouth-watering fixture between title rivals Liverpool and Manchester City at Anfield on Sunday.


Jurgen Klopp’s Reds are currently top of the table on 63 points, just one point ahead of City and two above Arsenal. Any one of those three teams could be leading the way when the run-in enters the final 10 games after the next round of fixtures.


“The energy is really good at the moment,” Arteta told BBC Match of the Day after his side’s win at Sheffield United, their seventh league victory in a row.


“When you are winning everything is easier – we have to maintain momentum now.


“It is believing in the players. They have the capacity to do it. When things are going well that helps the confidence and the players have been brilliant.”


While captain Martin Odegaard described the title race as “a good fight”, both he and Arteta played down the significance of the Gunners potentially returning to the top on Saturday.


So what is the state of play? What do the fixtures look like? And which team is favourite to come out on top?


Current table

Premier League table as of 4 March

Team    Played    Points    GD    Form (past 5 games)

  1. Liverpool 27 63    +39    LWWWW
  2. Man City 27 62    +35    WDWWW
  3. Arsenal 27 61    +45    WWWWW

Just two points separate the top three teams in the Premier League – and it is only the second time in the competition’s history that three different sides have 60+ points heading into the final 11 games.

Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City arguably have the most difficult run of fixtures in the coming weeks with games against both title rivals, starting with the highly anticipated trip to Anfield to face leaders Liverpool on Sunday.


Arsenal visit City on the final day of March.


As for Liverpool, the loss in north London on 4 February remains their only league defeat in their past 19 games. As well as Jurgen Klopp’s team hosting City on 10 March, they have a trip to Goodison Park for the Merseyside derby to fit into a busy schedule.


What do the prediction models suggest?

Predicted Premier League final table – Opta

Team    % chance of winning title    Current position & points

  1. Man City 51 2nd – 62 points
  2. Liverpool 35 1st – 63 points
  3. Arsenal 14 3rd – 61 points

Opta’s ‘supercomputer’ prediction model estimates the probability of each match outcome (win, draw or loss) by using betting market odds and the Opta team rankings – based on historical and recent team performances. These are simulated thousands of times to create the probabilities.


Whatever happens, there are certain to be plenty of twists and turns between now and the final day of the campaign on 19 May.




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